Nintendo May Be Considering a Successor for the 3DS
Kyoto newspaper quotes Nintendo president as seeing a need for it.
It appears that Nintendo Japan is considering a successor for the 3DS, according to the Kyoto Shimbun newspaper. We should consider this unconfirmed given the possible translation issues, but Nintendo has made comments in the past regarding the Switch as a replacement for the Wii U only.
The report, translated by Tokyo-based gaming consultant Dr. Serkan Toto on Twitter, quotes Nintendo Japan president Tatsumi Kimishima as saying that he sees an need for a new handheld and that there is a market for it. Toto said that the inference is for a completely new unit and not an update or modification of the existing 3DS. There were no other details presented in the article.
Nintendo Japan held a high-level strategy meeting yesterday about its plans, so the comments from Kimishima could be based on discussion from that meeting. The company is also ramping up production on the Nintendo Switch, which releases on March 3, Despite some lackluster comments about the upcoming console-handheld hybrid, the company increased its financial forecast because of a strong showing by mobile title Pokemon Go and Super Mario Run.
Because of the focus on the Switch, Nintendo has stopped production of its Wii U console.
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John Keefer posted a new article, Nintendo May Be Considering a Successor for the 3DS
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Beyond it being a fairly casual remark, I would like to remind everyone that for a spell, the DS was considered to be a third pillar at Nintendo.
In case the Switch tanks, Nintendo would be foolish not to be looking at the possibility of continuing forward with the DS line in some way shape or form.-
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Except, as I said, the DS was officially considered to be a third pillar in Nintendo's lineup for a good while, despite the obvious intent for it to eventually replace the Gameboy.
The point is that it was a risk averse play that allowed them to maintain a well established name in the target segment should their lateral play fail, which is what they're doing by not fully killing the 3DS pillar the very moment they launch the Switch.
I'm shocked anyone would even think that they would fully nuke that branch while it still makes money, even as Nintendo consolidates the software side.
Ramp down? Sure. Plan for the end of line? Absolutely. Plan for the worst possibility that they may need to throw together a new DS by late 2019? Probably.-
Hell, nearly a full year after the release of the DS Nintendo dropped the somewhat confusingly named* Game Boy Micro in Q3 2005. They didn't fully kill off the Game Boy until it was clear the DS could fully succeed it. They put a lot of effort into the DS but they planned for the worst.
*Despite lacking "Advance" in the name it was not only a GBA, it was GBA only unlike all previous Game Boy Advances.
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From the sound of things, the Switch is never going to be a 3DS replacement since the portable battery life is nowhere near that of a 3DS. I guess I could see a "Switch 2.0" have improved battery life where that's a viable option, but it'll be a while before that happens. In the meantime why not make a new dedicated handheld that all the kids are clamoring for?
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I was thinking along those lines originally, but I don't see a Plus with more battery life. Or, at least not with a bigger battery. Weight has to be a concern with a handheld. So, I don't see them going too much more over what I assume they believe is the balance point already between weight and play time/features. Something to optimize the battery usage? Yeah, I could see that. But, not just a bigger battery that would add weight.
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Well, this is 3/4th hand info, so take it with a bucket of salt. If that's an accurate translation or quote, it could mean that they do see the need, but that they may already have the answer in the Switch. If it does well in Japan, why would they make a competitor for it? Put your eggs into the Switch basket and make mobile your cash cow. EOT
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I speculated about this above. Do you think it would still support its own smaller dock (or just AV cable) and pro controllers, or would it be portable-only?
Seems like if they made a purpose-built handheld version, it wouldn't be that big of a deal for it to retain an AV connector and the same wireless connections, for the benefit of it still being full-featured for home use.-
First one will be the same as the regular SKU without the home dock that they're selling for $90, bringing it down to $200ish. If they release a mini I would expect it to work in the same dock as the larger one, just might go further down. Could be a problem if the controllers don't fit in with it though. I expect that might release around the same time as a Switch+ that's got better hardware inside a similar form factor.
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I imagine the dock doesn't cost even half that much to produce so I think doing that would be selling at a loss. I envision this as being a model targeted towards parents buying something for their kids at maybe $150 tops. The 2DS sells for $80 now. I think the only way a Switch Mini can ever hit that price would be from casting off all that excess functionality.
I think it's directly analogous to the 3DS - at launch, the 3D was the marquee feature. As time went on, it turned out to be not actually that important to the core experience, and so they put out the 2DS as a super low cost entry. Parents want something cheap and durable for their 5 year olds to play with, the Switch as it stands can never satisfy that use case.-
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$50 for losing the dock (and joy-con grip maybe) is still a lot. That thing is just a chunk of plastic with a couple of connectors. But if they get their costs down, maybe they could still do the versions and prices you're talking about, just with the $250 version with the dock having higher margins.
I think it all depends on the success of the system, or lack thereof. If it sells well I could see them never offering a sans-dock version. I've argued before that the multi-mode operation of the system is literally what it's named after, so I don't think they'll abandon it unless things are very dire. -
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There's no way they don't release one that can play on TV (especially since it just requires a USB-C breakout) but given the normal die shrinks and SOC improvements, it wouldn't surprise me at all if they released an updated model that shipped with no dock, but which could get full functionality via a $45 breakout later on - that would be entirely consistent with basically everyone's late-console-generation updates.
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I dont think it's that surprising. Nintendo will continue to release different more affordable versions of the switch as time goes on.
This time next year we'll see a switch much like the one arriving shortly, except it will have an improved battery and lower cost. We'll probably see a budget switch, purely portable that renders all the same games but at SD, for a much lower price.
Think of the switch much like the iphone, there will be new versions that are compatible with the same games, but with different features and prices. -